AI Detects Interval Cancer on Mammograms

In yet another demonstration of AI’s potential to improve mammography screening, a new study in Radiology shows that Lunit’s Insight MMG algorithm detected nearly a quarter of interval cancers missed by radiologists on regular breast screening exams. 

Breast screening is one of healthcare’s most challenging cancer screening exams, and for decades has been under attack by skeptics who question its life-saving benefit relative to “harms” like false-positive biopsies.  

  • But AI has the potential to change the cost-benefit equation by detecting a higher percentage of early-stage cancers and improving breast cancer survival rates. 

Indeed, 2024 has been a watershed year for mammography AI. 

U.K. researchers used Insight MMG (also used in the BreastScreen Norway trial) to analyze 2.1k screening mammograms, of which 25% were interval cancers (cancers occurring between screening rounds) and the rest normal. 

  • The AI algorithm generates risk scores from 0-100, with higher scores indicating likelihood of malignancy, and this study was set at a 96% specificity threshold, equivalent to the average 4% recall rate in the U.K. national breast screening program.

In analyzing the results, researchers found … 

  • AI flagged 24% of the interval cancers and correctly localized 77%.
  • AI localized a higher proportion of node-positive than node-negative cancers (24% vs. 16%).
  • Invasive tumors had higher median risk scores than noninvasive (62 vs. 33), with median scores of 26 for normal mammograms.

Researchers also tested AI at a lower specificity threshold of 90%. 

  • AI detected more interval cancers at this level, but in real-world practice this would bump up recall rates.  

It’s also worth noting that Insight MMG is designed for the analysis of 2D digital mammography, which is more common in Europe than DBT. 

  • For the U.S., Lunit is emphasizing its recently cleared Insight DBT algorithm, which may perform differently.  

The Takeaway

As with the MASAI and BreastScreen Norway results, the new study points to an exciting role for AI in making mammography screening more accurate with less drain on radiologist resources. But as with those studies, the new results must be interpreted against Europe’s double-reading paradigm, which differs from the single-reading protocol used in the U.S. 

DBT Detects Earlier Cancers in Swedish Tomo Study

A new analysis of a landmark DBT study from Sweden offers more support for the effectiveness of tomosynthesis mammography screening. Published in Radiology, researchers found that DBT screening seems to detect earlier cancers, most likely before they become more aggressive. 

Most U.S. mammography practices have embraced DBT since its approval in 2011, such that 48% of all certified mammography units are DBT and 90% of all facilities have at least one tomosynthesis unit. 

  • But doubts about DBT have persisted, particularly by mammography skeptics who charge that the technology was adopted without conducting randomized controlled trials to prove its value. 

But apart from RCTs, there have been plenty of observational studies in which DBT showed a benefit, one of them being the Malmö Breast Tomosynthesis Screening Trial of almost 15k women in Sweden.

  • First results from MBTST were published in 2018 and showed that single-view DBT screening had a 34% higher cancer detection rate per 1k women than digital mammography (8.7 vs. 6.5), but with a higher recall rate as well (3.6% vs. 2.5%).

In the new study, researchers wanted to see if DBT’s screening benefits persisted over two subsequent screening rounds with conventional digital mammography. 

  • Their assumption was that the cancer detection rate would be lower in subsequent rounds, and there would be fewer slow-growing, less aggressive cancers – a sign of early cancer detection. 

Their analysis found …

  • The cancer detection rate per 1k women was lower in the first (4.6) and second (5.3) rounds compared to the original MBTST
  • Recall rate was 2.1% – also lower 
  • The odds ratio of cancer detection was lower than MBTST in the first (OR=0.46) and second (OR=0.53) follow-up rounds 
  • Invasive cancers were less prevalent in the first round compared to the second round (66% vs. 83%) 

What do the results mean? The implication is that because DBT detected cancers in the initial screening round, there was lower cancer prevalence and less aggressive cancer in follow-up rounds, an effect that wore off as time went on.

The Takeaway

There may never be a randomized controlled trial of DBT due to the ethical problem of denying a live-saving technology to women in a control group. But studies like the MBTST follow-up are important in adding to the body of evidence showing that DBT actually does work.

Breast Screening’s New Gold Standard?

A new study in Radiology on the use of digital breast tomosynthesis for breast screening makes the case that DBT has so many advantages over conventional 2D digital mammography that it should be considered the gold standard for breast screening. 

Unlike 2D mammography, DBT systems scan around the breast in an arc, acquiring multiple breast images that are combined into 3D volumes. The technique is believed to be more effective in revealing pathology that might be obscured on 2D projections.

Previous research already demonstrated the effectiveness of DBT for certain uses, but the new study is notable for its large patient population, as well as its focus on general screening rather than subgroups like women with cancer risk factors such as dense breast tissue.

Researchers led by Dr. Emily Conant of the University of Pennsylvania reviewed DBT’s performance in five large U.S. healthcare systems, with a total study population of over 1 million women. 

The advantages of DBT were notable:

  • Higher cancer detection rate: 5.5 vs. 4.5 per 1k women screened
  • Lower recall rate:  8.9% vs. 10.3%
  • Higher recall PPV: 5.9% vs. 4.3%.

On the negative side, DBT had higher biopsy rates, of 17.6 biopsies per 1,000 women versus 14.5 biopsies for 2D digital mammography. But PPV of biopsy for both techniques was largely the same. 

Researchers note that breast cancer mortality rates have fallen 41% since 1989, a development attributed to earlier diagnosis and better treatment. DBT could help accelerate this trend as it finds more cancers relative to 2D digital mammography.

The Takeaway

This study reinforces the idea that DBT is now the gold standard for breast screening. While mammography vendors have already seen high market penetration for DBT systems, the new study is likely to convince any remaining holdouts that 3D mammography is a necessary technology for any breast imaging facility. 

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